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to spout off with his incite-ful opinions.
I’ve decided to put my powers of prognostication to work and reveal what will
happen in Iraq in the near future. What qualifies me for this, you may ask?
Well, when the invasion of Iraq began I said, “Of course we’ll take over the
country fairly easily. We might lose a dozen troops to their thousands. But
then we’ll have to occupy the country while we try to set up a friendly
government and we’ll lose hundreds of more troops to suicide bombers and
other types of sneak attack until we finally give up and go home. Then the
radical muslims will be free to take over.”
That might not be right on the money, but it’s a lot closer than the predictions
by Bush and his cronies that we would be greeted as liberators by a grateful
nation. Did they really ever believe that? I mean, I don’t like living under
Bush’s rule, but if Canada invaded to save us from him I would do whatever I
could to fight the invaders. Anyway, I think that this proves that I am more
qualified than the former most powerful man on earth to predict what will
happen next.
There is no chance that a government that we helped to form will survive for
long without our military to back it up. So it’s not really a question of whether
the radicals will run the country, but of when. How much money and lives are
we going to sacrifice in a futile attempt to turn Iraq into a western-style
democracy? Unfortunately, our troops will remain for at least two more
years. The current president will never pull them out--that would be like
admitting that he screwed up by sending them in. When the next president
pulls them out the Republicans will try to claim that it’s the Democrat’s fault for
pulling our troops out when the inevitable revolution occurs.
In the end we’ll probably end up with a divided Iraq. The Kurds already have
practically autonomous control in the north, which is all that they’ve really
wanted for decades, so they’ll probably declare their territory to be
Kurdistan. The rest of Iraq will be controlled by the majority Shiites. This is
assuming that the new Islamic government of Iraq doesn’t go to war with the
Kurds to keep all of their territory, but I don’t think they will. They’ll have their
hands full suppressing dissent in the territory they already hold.
The only big question mark is whether Iraq’s new government will be like the
Taliban, enforcing a strict interpretation of Islam and openly supporting
international terrorism, or be more like Iran, enforcing a slightly less strict
interpretation of Islam and secretly supporting international terrorism. The
point is, this has been the inevitable conclusion ever since the day that
Saddam’s regime fell. Keeping our forces there can only delay the inevitable
and it’s simply not the worth the cost in money and especially not worth the
loss of our soldiers lives.
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